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Qual 722024 Midwest Regional
Red64
582230.8
478712.2
31104.4
Blue51
958517.7
409620.7
47029.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4551204060806451

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5822
#4
30.81.5
28.7→30.2
Auto9.9
Teleop18.5
End2.5
red by 10.2
4096
#14
20.70.4
19.3→19.6
Auto6.4
Teleop11.5
End2.8
Second
4787
#15
12.21.5
10.6→12.1
Auto7.1
Teleop3.0
End2.2
blue by 5.4
9585
#35
17.70.5
17.7→18.2
Auto7.1
Teleop8.3
End2.3
Third
3110
#46
4.42.2
2.1→4.2
Auto3.0
Teleop0.8
End0.7
blue by 4.7
4702
#49
9.10.6
8.4→9.0
Auto5.3
Teleop1.9
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsEarned52%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
29%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsEarned