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Qual 772024 Midwest Regional
Red63
96697.9
1629.1
409620.7
Blue43
47319.4
302322.5
162219.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6261405070806343

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#8
29.10.5
28.8→29.3
Auto10.1
Teleop16.9
End2.1
red by 6.6
3023
#24
22.50.8
25.2→24.4
Auto7.6
Teleop12.6
End2.3
Second
4096
#14
20.70.5
19.6→20.1
Auto6.4
Teleop11.5
End2.8
red by 1.6
1622
#16
19.00.8
19.8→19.0
Auto7.8
Teleop9.0
End2.2
Third
9669
#36
7.90.7
7.2→7.9
Auto3.4
Teleop3.2
End1.2
blue by 1.5
4731
#42
9.40.8
10.2→9.4
Auto3.7
Teleop4.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
62%Melody oddsEarned53%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
49%Ensemble oddsMissed27%Ensemble oddsMissed