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Red63
888013.2
306714.4
178131.6
Blue77
238325.9
593428.5
64816.1
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6377401001206377

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1781
#27
31.60.3
31.331.5
Auto10.0
Teleop19.3
End2.3
red by 3.1
28.50.3
27.928.3
Auto10.0
Teleop15.4
End3.1
Second
3067
#40
14.40.3
14.114.4
Auto3.6
Teleop10.1
End0.6
blue by 11.6
2383
#11
25.90.3
24.324.7
Auto8.2
Teleop15.6
End2.1
Third
8880
#13
13.20.3
13.313.6
Auto4.9
Teleop5.3
End3.0
blue by 3.0
648
#26
16.10.3
15.816.1
Auto5.9
Teleop8.0
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
82%Melody oddsEarned67%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed58%Ensemble oddsMissed