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Red54
47029.1
306136.9
51256.3
Blue68
682317.5
379217.3
72379.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60462040801001205468

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3061
#23
36.90.1
37.237.3
Auto12.2
Teleop23.0
End1.6
red by 19.4
6823
#25
17.50.6
16.917.5
Auto6.6
Teleop9.4
End1.5
Second
4702
#49
9.10.2
9.09.1
Auto5.3
Teleop1.9
End2.0
blue by 8.2
3792
#21
17.30.6
18.218.8
Auto3.8
Teleop11.6
End1.9
Third
5125
#48
6.30.1
6.26.3
Auto1.3
Teleop4.6
End0.4
blue by 3.0
7237
#33
9.30.8
8.59.3
Auto4.0
Teleop3.0
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsEarned66%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed