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Red93
465519.1
35944.6
233836.6
Blue104
593428.5
11130.3
409620.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12083406010014016018093104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#3
44.60.4
46.045.6
Auto15.3
Teleop23.2
End6.2
red by 14.4
111
#7
30.30.4
30.330.7
Auto11.5
Teleop17.7
End1.1
Second
36.60.4
37.937.5
Auto12.6
Teleop17.3
End6.6
red by 8.1
28.50.4
28.529.0
Auto10.0
Teleop15.4
End3.1
Third
4655
#22
19.10.4
20.420.0
Auto3.9
Teleop11.0
End4.2
blue by 1.6
4096
#14
20.70.4
20.721.1
Auto6.4
Teleop11.5
End2.8