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Red83
306136.9
302322.5
809627.0
Blue117
238325.9
11221.8
642123.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100715015083117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3061
#23
36.90.2
37.136.9
Auto12.2
Teleop23.0
End1.6
red by 10.9
2383
#11
25.90.9
24.825.7
Auto8.2
Teleop15.6
End2.1
Second
27.00.2
27.227.0
Auto12.3
Teleop11.1
End3.6
red by 3.7
6421
#34
23.30.9
22.223.1
Auto10.6
Teleop11.2
End1.5
Third
3023
#24
22.50.2
22.722.5
Auto7.6
Teleop12.6
End2.3
red by 0.6
112
#28
21.80.9
20.721.6
Auto7.4
Teleop14.9
End-0.5