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Red101
940627.6
173628.2
198626.7
Blue105
858125.6
178131.6
582230.8
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89976080120140160101105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.20.2
28.028.2
Auto11.9
Teleop15.6
End0.7
blue by 3.4
1781
#27
31.60.1
31.231.3
Auto10.0
Teleop19.3
End2.3
Second
9406
#17
27.60.2
27.427.6
Auto9.3
Teleop16.5
End1.9
blue by 3.2
30.80.1
30.430.6
Auto9.9
Teleop18.5
End2.5
Third
1986
#19
26.70.2
26.526.7
Auto9.1
Teleop15.1
End2.5
red by 1.0
8581
#12
25.60.1
25.225.4
Auto11.0
Teleop12.1
End2.5