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Red72
306136.9
302322.5
809627.0
Blue80
593428.5
11130.3
409620.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1008640601201401601807280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3061
#23
36.90.6
37.637.1
Auto12.2
Teleop23.0
End1.6
red by 6.6
111
#7
30.30.0
30.330.3
Auto11.5
Teleop17.7
End1.1
Second
27.00.6
27.827.2
Auto12.3
Teleop11.1
End3.6
blue by 1.5
28.50.0
28.528.5
Auto10.0
Teleop15.4
End3.1
Third
3023
#24
22.50.6
23.222.7
Auto7.6
Teleop12.6
End2.3
red by 1.8
4096
#14
20.70.0
20.720.7
Auto6.4
Teleop11.5
End2.8