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Red109
306136.9
302322.5
809627.0
Blue94
812230.2
19119.7
1629.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions988620406012014016018010994

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3061
#23
36.90.4
37.337.6
Auto12.2
Teleop23.0
End1.6
red by 6.6
8122
#10
30.20.2
30.430.6
Auto12.6
Teleop14.5
End3.1
Second
27.00.4
27.427.8
Auto12.3
Teleop11.1
End3.6
blue by 2.1
16
#8
29.10.2
29.329.5
Auto10.1
Teleop16.9
End2.1
Third
3023
#24
22.50.4
22.923.2
Auto7.6
Teleop12.6
End2.3
red by 2.8
191
#20
19.70.2
19.519.7
Auto7.1
Teleop11.2
End1.3