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Red88
582230.8
178131.6
858125.6
Blue97
593428.5
11130.3
409620.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9985501502008897

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1781
#27
31.60.4
31.531.1
Auto10.0
Teleop19.3
End2.3
red by 1.3
111
#7
30.30.2
30.130.3
Auto11.5
Teleop17.7
End1.1
Second
30.80.4
30.830.3
Auto9.9
Teleop18.5
End2.5
red by 2.3
28.50.2
28.328.5
Auto10.0
Teleop15.4
End3.1
Third
8581
#12
25.60.4
25.625.2
Auto11.0
Teleop12.1
End2.5
red by 5.0
4096
#14
20.70.2
20.520.7
Auto6.4
Teleop11.5
End2.8