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Red58
504118.6
409615.3
414326.1
Blue22
88809.7
42139.4
369515.6
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50371020304060705822

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4143
#11
26.11.6
18.219.8
Auto10.7
Teleop13.1
End2.3
red by 10.5
3695
#28
15.61.5
11.09.5
Auto5.3
Teleop8.5
End1.8
Second
18.61.6
10.712.3
Auto7.8
Teleop8.8
End2.0
red by 8.9
8880
#30
9.71.5
9.88.4
Auto3.0
Teleop4.1
End2.6
Third
4096
#22
15.31.6
14.816.4
Auto3.1
Teleop10.3
End2.0
red by 5.9
4213
#36
9.41.5
14.312.8
Auto4.5
Teleop4.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsEarned21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed