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Red40
11122.2
203919.5
74176.6
Blue65
282617.9
335214.6
32535.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54543040506070804065

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#29
22.21.0
21.020.1
Auto9.6
Teleop11.4
End1.3
blue by 13.3
325
#8
35.51.2
29.530.8
Auto13.9
Teleop20.8
End0.8
Second
2039
#17
19.50.8
15.614.8
Auto6.4
Teleop10.6
End2.5
red by 1.5
2826
#19
17.91.6
11.012.6
Auto7.1
Teleop9.2
End1.6
Third
7417
#37
6.61.0
10.19.2
Auto2.9
Teleop2.1
End1.6
blue by 7.9
3352
#34
14.61.6
10.412.0
Auto6.0
Teleop8.3
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed67%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed