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Red86
282617.9
665118.9
233832.7
Blue18
348819.9
409615.3
80245.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46432030506070808618

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.72.5
20.823.3
Auto11.7
Teleop16.3
End4.7
red by 12.9
3488
#12
19.92.3
14.011.7
Auto5.2
Teleop14.0
End0.7
Second
18.92.5
8.010.5
Auto7.9
Teleop9.6
End1.4
red by 3.6
4096
#22
15.32.3
16.414.1
Auto3.1
Teleop10.3
End2.0
Third
2826
#19
17.92.5
12.615.1
Auto7.1
Teleop9.2
End1.6
red by 12.6
8024
#33
5.42.3
8.56.2
Auto1.9
Teleop2.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsEarned30%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsEarned9%Ensemble oddsMissed