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Red75
173621.2
544217.2
402828.5
Blue49
306714.8
32535.5
369515.6
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58543040506070807549

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.53.0
18.921.9
Auto9.0
Teleop15.2
End4.3
blue by 7.0
325
#8
35.50.3
30.830.5
Auto13.9
Teleop20.8
End0.8
Second
1736
#10
21.23.0
16.219.2
Auto8.4
Teleop12.2
End0.6
red by 5.6
3695
#28
15.60.4
9.59.1
Auto5.3
Teleop8.5
End1.8
Third
5442
#24
17.21.8
13.114.8
Auto3.8
Teleop11.4
End2.1
red by 2.4
3067
#16
14.80.4
12.512.1
Auto5.7
Teleop8.9
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsEarned74%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed