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Red33
335214.6
202212.6
504118.6
Blue58
11215.3
784818.7
584724.8
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions354210203050603358

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.60.0
12.312.3
Auto7.8
Teleop8.8
End2.0
blue by 6.2
24.81.2
12.513.6
Auto7.7
Teleop14.4
End2.7
Second
3352
#34
14.60.0
12.012.0
Auto6.0
Teleop8.3
End0.2
blue by 4.1
7848
#27
18.71.2
12.313.5
Auto6.1
Teleop11.9
End0.7
Third
2022
#25
12.60.0
8.58.6
Auto4.7
Teleop7.9
End-0.1
blue by 2.7
112
#20
15.31.2
12.713.9
Auto5.5
Teleop9.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsEarned