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Red43
623711.0
203919.5
42139.4
Blue83
14429.3
17114.4
414326.1
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions387102060801001201404383

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2039
#17
19.50.4
14.815.2
Auto6.4
Teleop10.6
End2.5
blue by 9.8
144
#5
29.32.0
23.125.1
Auto13.1
Teleop14.7
End1.5
Second
6237
#35
11.00.5
9.710.2
Auto6.3
Teleop4.3
End0.5
blue by 15.1
4143
#11
26.12.5
23.826.3
Auto10.7
Teleop13.1
End2.3
Third
4213
#36
9.40.5
13.614.2
Auto4.5
Teleop4.0
End0.8
blue by 5.0
171
#26
14.42.5
13.516.0
Auto5.0
Teleop7.8
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed71%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsEarned