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Red71
32535.5
348819.9
431412.6
Blue36
42139.4
908216.1
282617.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6341020801001207136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
325
#8
35.51.1
31.532.6
Auto13.9
Teleop20.8
End0.8
red by 17.6
2826
#19
17.90.4
14.514.1
Auto7.1
Teleop9.2
End1.6
Second
3488
#12
19.91.9
13.014.9
Auto5.2
Teleop14.0
End0.7
red by 3.8
9082
#31
16.10.4
11.110.7
Auto4.1
Teleop9.2
End2.8
Third
4314
#18
12.61.9
9.811.6
Auto4.9
Teleop6.6
End1.1
red by 3.2
4213
#36
9.40.4
14.213.8
Auto4.5
Teleop4.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
75%Melody oddsEarned25%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed