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Red60
17114.4
623711.0
233832.7
Blue88
504118.6
175636.4
582221.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions566501001502006088

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.70.9
29.930.8
Auto11.7
Teleop16.3
End4.7
blue by 3.6
36.41.7
30.131.7
Auto13.4
Teleop18.0
End5.0
Second
171
#26
14.40.9
14.315.2
Auto5.0
Teleop7.8
End1.6
blue by 7.3
5822
#15
21.61.7
16.017.7
Auto6.6
Teleop13.6
End1.4
Third
6237
#35
11.00.9
7.48.4
Auto6.3
Teleop4.3
End0.5
blue by 7.5
18.61.7
11.813.5
Auto7.8
Teleop8.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsEarned56%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed35%Ensemble oddsEarned