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Red51
202212.6
32535.5
74176.6
Blue55
665118.9
582221.6
306714.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5446203040506070805155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
325
#8
35.50.2
33.533.7
Auto13.9
Teleop20.8
End0.8
red by 13.9
5822
#15
21.61.4
17.719.1
Auto6.6
Teleop13.6
End1.4
Second
2022
#25
12.60.3
4.85.2
Auto4.7
Teleop7.9
End-0.1
blue by 6.3
18.91.4
10.311.7
Auto7.9
Teleop9.6
End1.4
Third
7417
#37
6.60.3
9.710.1
Auto2.9
Teleop2.1
End1.6
blue by 8.2
3067
#16
14.81.4
14.315.7
Auto5.7
Teleop8.9
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
64%Melody oddsEarned53%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed