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Red85
593422.5
248143.5
11215.3
Blue56
42139.4
631717.7
812227.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6960405080908556

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.52.1
34.236.3
Auto12.3
Teleop27.4
End3.8
red by 16.1
8122
#13
27.40.0
23.723.7
Auto13.3
Teleop10.9
End3.2
Second
5934
#14
22.52.1
15.117.1
Auto8.5
Teleop11.3
End2.7
red by 4.8
6317
#23
17.70.0
16.616.6
Auto6.6
Teleop9.1
End2.0
Third
112
#20
15.32.1
12.214.3
Auto5.5
Teleop9.3
End0.5
red by 5.9
4213
#36
9.40.0
15.415.4
Auto4.5
Teleop4.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
55%Melody oddsEarned36%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
36%Ensemble oddsEarned17%Ensemble oddsMissed