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Qual 362024 Central Illinois Regional
Red61
348819.9
414326.1
88809.7
Blue74
17114.4
584724.8
173621.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56613040507080906174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4143
#11
26.10.9
24.3→25.1
Auto10.7
Teleop13.1
End2.3
red by 1.4
5847
#6
24.81.5
18.7→20.2
Auto7.7
Teleop14.4
End2.7
Second
3488
#12
19.90.9
16.5→17.4
Auto5.2
Teleop14.0
End0.7
blue by 1.3
1736
#10
21.21.5
19.8→21.2
Auto8.4
Teleop12.2
End0.6
Third
8880
#30
9.70.9
10.3→11.2
Auto3.0
Teleop4.1
End2.6
blue by 4.7
171
#26
14.41.5
16.3→17.8
Auto5.0
Teleop7.8
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
64%Melody oddsEarned50%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsEarned17%Ensemble oddsMissed