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Red64
74176.6
812227.4
431412.6
Blue58
623711.0
348819.9
544217.2
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5546020801001206458

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8122
#13
27.40.7
25.926.6
Auto13.3
Teleop10.9
End3.2
red by 7.5
3488
#12
19.91.6
17.619.3
Auto5.2
Teleop14.0
End0.7
Second
4314
#18
12.61.1
12.313.4
Auto4.9
Teleop6.6
End1.1
blue by 4.7
5442
#24
17.21.0
16.117.2
Auto3.8
Teleop11.4
End2.1
Third
7417
#37
6.61.2
10.111.3
Auto2.9
Teleop2.1
End1.6
blue by 4.4
6237
#35
11.01.7
8.510.2
Auto6.3
Teleop4.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsEarned50%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed