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Red89
203919.5
584724.8
665118.9
Blue68
248143.5
409615.3
51256.4
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5573204060801001208968

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.82.3
20.522.8
Auto7.7
Teleop14.4
End2.7
blue by 18.8
43.50.4
40.040.4
Auto12.3
Teleop27.4
End3.8
Second
2039
#17
19.51.5
18.219.6
Auto6.4
Teleop10.6
End2.5
red by 4.2
4096
#22
15.30.4
16.416.8
Auto3.1
Teleop10.3
End2.0
Third
18.92.3
13.015.3
Auto7.9
Teleop9.6
End1.4
red by 12.5
5125
#38
6.40.4
7.57.9
Auto2.7
Teleop3.2
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
52%Melody oddsEarned57%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed25%Ensemble oddsMissed