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Qual 472024 Central Illinois Regional
Red57
42139.4
270416.8
14429.3
Blue79
173621.2
504118.6
233832.7
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions588020401001205779

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
144
#5
29.30.1
27.2→27.3
Auto13.1
Teleop14.7
End1.5
blue by 3.4
2338
#2
32.70.1
31.8→31.7
Auto11.7
Teleop16.3
End4.7
Second
2704
#21
16.80.2
14.4→14.6
Auto5.1
Teleop9.4
End2.4
blue by 4.4
1736
#10
21.20.1
19.0→19.0
Auto8.4
Teleop12.2
End0.6
Third
4213
#36
9.40.2
13.3→13.5
Auto4.5
Teleop4.0
End0.8
blue by 9.2
5041
#7
18.60.1
19.0→18.9
Auto7.8
Teleop8.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
50%Melody oddsEarned66%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed