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Red49
80245.4
306714.8
414326.1
Blue41
17114.4
11122.2
784818.7
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51672030406080901004941

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4143
#11
26.10.1
26.126.1
Auto10.7
Teleop13.1
End2.3
red by 3.9
111
#29
22.21.8
21.820.0
Auto9.6
Teleop11.4
End1.3
Second
3067
#16
14.80.1
17.117.2
Auto5.7
Teleop8.9
End0.2
blue by 3.9
7848
#27
18.71.8
17.815.9
Auto6.1
Teleop11.9
End0.7
Third
8024
#33
5.40.1
5.15.2
Auto1.9
Teleop2.8
End0.7
blue by 9.0
171
#26
14.41.8
19.117.3
Auto5.0
Teleop7.8
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
71%Melody oddsEarned76%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed