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Red22
409615.3
42139.4
17114.4
Blue94
202212.6
584724.8
402828.5
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4768204060801001202294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4096
#22
15.32.0
15.913.9
Auto3.1
Teleop10.3
End2.0
blue by 13.2
28.51.9
27.128.9
Auto9.0
Teleop15.2
End4.3
Second
171
#26
14.42.0
17.315.3
Auto5.0
Teleop7.8
End1.6
blue by 10.4
24.81.9
21.423.3
Auto7.7
Teleop14.4
End2.7
Third
4213
#36
9.42.0
11.69.6
Auto4.5
Teleop4.0
End0.8
blue by 3.2
2022
#25
12.61.9
10.312.2
Auto4.7
Teleop7.9
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
54%Melody oddsMissed70%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed