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Red67
784818.7
631717.7
203919.5
Blue73
270416.8
812227.4
173621.2
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59702040801001206773

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2039
#17
19.50.5
20.120.6
Auto6.4
Teleop10.6
End2.5
blue by 7.9
8122
#13
27.40.1
27.827.9
Auto13.3
Teleop10.9
End3.2
Second
7848
#27
18.70.7
17.618.3
Auto6.1
Teleop11.9
End0.7
blue by 2.5
1736
#10
21.20.1
19.419.5
Auto8.4
Teleop12.2
End0.6
Third
6317
#23
17.70.5
16.917.4
Auto6.6
Teleop9.1
End2.0
red by 0.9
2704
#21
16.80.1
14.614.8
Auto5.1
Teleop9.4
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
52%Melody oddsEarned66%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsEarned