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Red43
593422.5
20408.0
623711.0
Blue52
88809.7
306714.8
14429.3
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4260020801004352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5934
#14
22.50.2
20.920.7
Auto8.5
Teleop11.3
End2.7
blue by 6.8
144
#5
29.30.2
27.327.1
Auto13.1
Teleop14.7
End1.5
Second
6237
#35
11.00.2
10.910.7
Auto6.3
Teleop4.3
End0.5
blue by 3.8
3067
#16
14.80.2
15.615.4
Auto5.7
Teleop8.9
End0.2
Third
2040
#32
8.00.2
8.48.2
Auto2.3
Teleop4.5
End1.2
blue by 1.7
8880
#30
9.70.2
9.49.2
Auto3.0
Teleop4.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsMissed79%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed