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Red83
233832.7
631717.7
584724.8
Blue63
348819.9
203919.5
369515.6
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions845820401001208363

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.70.9
32.433.3
Auto11.7
Teleop16.3
End4.7
red by 12.9
3488
#12
19.90.2
19.419.7
Auto5.2
Teleop14.0
End0.7
Second
24.80.8
23.324.1
Auto7.7
Teleop14.4
End2.7
red by 5.3
2039
#17
19.50.2
20.620.8
Auto6.4
Teleop10.6
End2.5
Third
6317
#23
17.70.7
17.418.0
Auto6.6
Teleop9.1
End2.0
red by 2.1
3695
#28
15.60.2
15.415.6
Auto5.3
Teleop8.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
88%Melody oddsEarned52%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsEarned14%Ensemble oddsMissed