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Red89
665118.9
173621.2
248143.5
Blue59
431412.6
582221.6
11215.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions934502060801001201408959

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.50.9
43.043.9
Auto12.3
Teleop27.4
End3.8
red by 21.9
5822
#15
21.60.6
20.421.0
Auto6.6
Teleop13.6
End1.4
Second
1736
#10
21.20.9
19.520.3
Auto8.4
Teleop12.2
End0.6
red by 5.8
112
#20
15.30.6
14.014.6
Auto5.5
Teleop9.3
End0.5
Third
18.90.9
15.916.8
Auto7.9
Teleop9.6
End1.4
red by 6.3
4314
#18
12.60.6
11.912.6
Auto4.9
Teleop6.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
89%Melody oddsEarned66%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed