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Red80
582226.8
270416.6
233833.4
Blue55
206217.3
173625.9
665112.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99730501508055

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.41.1
35.033.9
Auto11.8
Teleop16.0
End5.5
red by 7.5
1736
#19
25.91.2
28.226.9
Auto10.8
Teleop14.2
End0.9
Second
5822
#10
26.81.1
28.727.6
Auto12.6
Teleop11.8
End2.4
red by 9.5
2062
#20
17.31.2
21.320.0
Auto5.1
Teleop11.0
End1.1
Third
2704
#28
16.61.1
22.421.4
Auto5.9
Teleop8.0
End2.7
red by 4.1
6651
#18
12.51.2
19.218.0
Auto5.5
Teleop6.0
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
94%Melody oddsMissed92%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
63%Ensemble oddsEarned6%Ensemble oddsMissed