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Red79
427230.7
657418.4
46128.1
Blue47
51253.2
36929.3
642123.0
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105400501502007947

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.71.5
32.731.2
Auto9.2
Teleop19.9
End1.6
red by 7.7
23.00.2
24.724.9
Auto12.4
Teleop9.8
End0.7
Second
461
#15
28.11.5
34.633.1
Auto7.8
Teleop18.3
End2.0
red by 18.8
3692
#23
9.30.2
12.612.8
Auto5.2
Teleop3.3
End0.7
Third
18.41.5
19.618.1
Auto4.1
Teleop12.0
End2.3
red by 15.2
5125
#31
3.20.2
6.36.5
Auto2.1
Teleop1.1
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
89%Melody oddsEarned11%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
37%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed