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Red8
162516.1
33529.1
270416.6
Blue91
465522.3
46128.1
179219.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57710100150200891

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2704
#28
16.63.0
20.717.7
Auto5.9
Teleop8.0
End2.7
blue by 11.5
461
#15
28.11.6
28.229.7
Auto7.8
Teleop18.3
End2.0
Second
1625
#32
16.13.0
21.318.3
Auto5.3
Teleop9.6
End1.2
blue by 6.3
22.31.6
17.519.1
Auto6.6
Teleop10.0
End5.7
Third
3352
#14
9.13.0
11.78.6
Auto3.7
Teleop5.2
End0.2
blue by 10.4
19.61.6
17.018.5
Auto8.2
Teleop9.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
54%Melody oddsMissed42%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed67%Ensemble oddsEarned