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Red52
203919.5
36929.3
11130.7
Blue62
665112.5
593426.4
283025.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62820501001505262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#12
30.70.4
33.032.6
Auto10.8
Teleop19.0
End0.8
red by 4.2
5934
#25
26.41.5
29.027.5
Auto9.8
Teleop14.3
End2.3
Second
2039
#17
19.50.4
16.516.1
Auto4.3
Teleop12.3
End2.9
blue by 6.1
25.61.5
27.826.4
Auto11.6
Teleop12.7
End1.3
Third
3692
#23
9.30.4
8.98.5
Auto5.2
Teleop3.3
End0.7
blue by 3.3
6651
#18
12.51.5
15.514.0
Auto5.5
Teleop6.0
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
47%Melody oddsEarned88%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsEarned