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Red37
51253.2
409616.6
348813.9
Blue100
233833.4
465522.3
203919.5
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2980020406010012014016037100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4096
#26
16.60.0
15.615.6
Auto7.5
Teleop7.7
End1.4
blue by 16.7
33.42.2
31.233.4
Auto11.8
Teleop16.0
End5.5
Second
3488
#24
13.90.0
14.013.9
Auto4.6
Teleop9.3
End0.1
blue by 8.4
22.32.2
19.121.3
Auto6.6
Teleop10.0
End5.7
Third
5125
#31
3.20.0
3.03.0
Auto2.1
Teleop1.1
End0.0
blue by 16.3
2039
#17
19.52.2
16.118.3
Auto4.3
Teleop12.3
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed45%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed70%Ensemble oddsEarned