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Red86
414331.8
657418.4
179219.6
Blue63
544213.3
593426.4
582226.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72790501001502002508663

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.81.3
31.833.1
Auto12.3
Teleop16.2
End3.2
red by 4.9
5822
#10
26.81.0
28.327.2
Auto12.6
Teleop11.8
End2.4
Second
19.61.3
18.519.8
Auto8.2
Teleop9.4
End1.9
blue by 6.8
5934
#25
26.41.0
27.526.5
Auto9.8
Teleop14.3
End2.3
Third
18.41.3
15.917.2
Auto4.1
Teleop12.0
End2.3
red by 5.1
5442
#22
13.31.0
15.714.7
Auto4.3
Teleop7.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
55%Melody oddsEarned76%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
37%Ensemble oddsEarned32%Ensemble oddsMissed