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Red65
11215.1
173625.9
504120.9
Blue42
99885.1
46128.1
665112.5
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72530204060801001206542

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1736
#19
25.90.5
24.824.3
Auto10.8
Teleop14.2
End0.9
blue by 2.2
461
#15
28.10.3
28.928.6
Auto7.8
Teleop18.3
End2.0
Second
5041
#11
20.90.5
21.420.9
Auto8.4
Teleop10.4
End2.0
red by 8.3
6651
#18
12.50.3
13.012.7
Auto5.5
Teleop6.0
End1.0
Third
112
#27
15.10.5
16.716.1
Auto7.5
Teleop7.4
End0.2
red by 10.0
9988
#29
5.10.5
4.74.2
Auto1.3
Teleop4.0
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
75%Melody oddsMissed35%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsEarned13%Ensemble oddsMissed