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Red75
414331.8
348813.9
283025.6
Blue68
593426.4
504120.9
36929.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8459020401001201401607568

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.80.0
33.133.1
Auto12.3
Teleop16.2
End3.2
red by 5.3
5934
#25
26.40.3
26.526.7
Auto9.8
Teleop14.3
End2.3
Second
25.60.0
26.926.9
Auto11.6
Teleop12.7
End1.3
red by 4.7
5041
#11
20.90.3
20.921.2
Auto8.4
Teleop10.4
End2.0
Third
3488
#24
13.90.0
13.913.9
Auto4.6
Teleop9.3
End0.1
red by 4.7
3692
#23
9.30.3
9.09.3
Auto5.2
Teleop3.3
End0.7