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Red52
33529.1
203919.5
657418.4
Blue87
888013.2
173625.9
409616.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions485802040801001201405287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2039
#17
19.50.2
18.318.5
Auto4.3
Teleop12.3
End2.9
blue by 6.4
1736
#19
25.90.5
24.324.8
Auto10.8
Teleop14.2
End0.9
Second
18.40.2
17.217.3
Auto4.1
Teleop12.0
End2.3
red by 1.7
4096
#26
16.60.5
15.616.0
Auto7.5
Teleop7.7
End1.4
Third
3352
#14
9.10.2
9.09.1
Auto3.7
Teleop5.2
End0.2
blue by 4.0
13.20.5
11.612.0
Auto3.6
Teleop7.4
End2.2