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Red68
51253.2
642123.0
427230.7
Blue55
17112.3
582226.8
162516.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6361404550556570756855

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.70.2
30.731.0
Auto9.2
Teleop19.9
End1.6
red by 3.9
5822
#10
26.80.1
27.227.1
Auto12.6
Teleop11.8
End2.4
Second
23.00.2
23.023.3
Auto12.4
Teleop9.8
End0.7
red by 6.9
1625
#32
16.10.1
16.516.3
Auto5.3
Teleop9.6
End1.2
Third
5125
#31
3.20.2
3.03.2
Auto2.1
Teleop1.1
End0.0
blue by 9.1
171
#16
12.30.1
12.412.3
Auto5.9
Teleop5.4
End1.0