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Red78
11215.1
233833.4
11130.7
Blue57
46128.1
206217.3
665112.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94600501507857

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.40.3
33.433.1
Auto11.8
Teleop16.0
End5.5
red by 5.3
461
#15
28.10.2
28.628.4
Auto7.8
Teleop18.3
End2.0
Second
111
#12
30.70.3
31.631.3
Auto10.8
Teleop19.0
End0.8
red by 13.4
2062
#20
17.30.2
17.817.6
Auto5.1
Teleop11.0
End1.1
Third
112
#27
15.10.3
16.115.8
Auto7.5
Teleop7.4
End0.2
red by 2.5
6651
#18
12.50.2
12.712.5
Auto5.5
Teleop6.0
End1.0