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Red52
162516.1
582226.8
809621.0
Blue64
46128.1
206217.3
179219.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7172506080905264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5822
#10
26.80.3
27.126.8
Auto12.6
Teleop11.8
End2.4
blue by 1.3
461
#15
28.10.3
28.428.1
Auto7.8
Teleop18.3
End2.0
Second
8096
#30
21.00.3
21.321.0
Auto11.2
Teleop7.0
End2.9
red by 1.5
19.60.3
19.819.6
Auto8.2
Teleop9.4
End1.9
Third
1625
#32
16.10.3
16.316.1
Auto5.3
Teleop9.6
End1.2
blue by 1.2
2062
#20
17.30.3
17.617.3
Auto5.1
Teleop11.0
End1.1