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Red44
642119.3
409616.4
11212.1
Blue45
765713.3
175643.5
20409.0
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions539001001502004445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6421
#29
19.30.6
18.618.0
Auto11.0
Teleop7.5
End0.7
blue by 24.2
43.52.5
49.547.0
Auto12.3
Teleop25.8
End5.4
Second
4096
#17
16.40.6
18.117.5
Auto8.7
Teleop6.2
End1.6
red by 3.1
13.32.5
13.210.6
Auto7.8
Teleop4.4
End1.1
Third
112
#30
12.10.6
15.715.1
Auto8.3
Teleop3.6
End0.2
red by 3.1
2040
#25
9.02.5
15.012.5
Auto5.5
Teleop2.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsMissed60%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed37%Ensemble oddsMissed