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Red102
11129.7
170641.0
657413.2
Blue114
233840.0
306131.6
999713.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9772050150200250300102114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.01.1
42.343.4
Auto12.0
Teleop25.2
End3.8
red by 1.0
40.02.5
33.836.3
Auto13.4
Teleop20.5
End6.1
Second
111
#24
29.71.1
28.829.9
Auto10.9
Teleop18.3
End0.6
blue by 1.9
3061
#11
31.62.5
28.931.4
Auto11.2
Teleop17.7
End2.8
Third
6574
#10
13.21.1
14.015.2
Auto5.6
Teleop6.7
End0.9
blue by 0.7
9997
#14
13.94.2
8.512.7
Auto5.3
Teleop6.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
85%Melody oddsEarned50%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
37%Ensemble oddsMissed70%Ensemble oddsEarned