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Red97
11129.7
999113.4
642119.3
Blue36
319719.3
99985.6
414320.8
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions605940507080909736

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#24Sur
29.71.1
29.931.0
Auto10.9
Teleop18.3
End0.6
red by 9.0
4143
#32
20.81.5
26.124.5
Auto10.5
Teleop8.6
End1.7
Second
6421
#29
19.31.1
18.019.1
Auto11.0
Teleop7.5
End0.7
Level
3197
#15Sur
19.31.5
22.120.6
Auto6.7
Teleop10.3
End2.3
Third
9991
#13
13.41.8
8.29.9
Auto3.9
Teleop7.9
End1.6
red by 7.8
9998
#28
5.62.6
5.83.2
Auto3.2
Teleop1.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody oddsEarned31%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed