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Red67
940135.5
99996.4
178121.9
Blue76
175643.5
90829.8
170641.0
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions611210501001502006776

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.50.3
33.834.0
Auto14.6
Teleop19.0
End1.9
blue by 8.0
43.52.4
47.044.6
Auto12.3
Teleop25.8
End5.4
Second
1781
#27
21.90.3
24.224.5
Auto7.0
Teleop13.1
End1.7
blue by 19.1
41.02.4
43.441.0
Auto12.0
Teleop25.2
End3.8
Third
9999
#21
6.40.5
4.95.4
Auto2.0
Teleop3.4
End1.1
blue by 3.4
9082
#16
9.82.4
11.69.2
Auto1.7
Teleop6.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
52%Melody oddsEarned94%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed81%Ensemble oddsMissed