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Red92
999113.4
175643.5
631718.5
Blue63
35969.0
442313.2
306131.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions805301001509263

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.50.9
44.645.6
Auto12.3
Teleop25.8
End5.4
red by 11.9
3061
#11
31.60.8
31.332.1
Auto11.2
Teleop17.7
End2.8
Second
18.50.9
18.419.3
Auto7.9
Teleop9.4
End1.3
red by 5.3
4423
#34
13.21.3
11.913.3
Auto4.6
Teleop7.5
End1.1
Third
9991
#13
13.41.6
9.911.5
Auto3.9
Teleop7.9
End1.6
red by 4.3
3596
#20
9.00.8
7.98.7
Auto6.6
Teleop1.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
55%Melody oddsEarned25%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
33%Ensemble oddsEarned21%Ensemble oddsMissed