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Red101
765713.3
248139.8
11129.7
Blue34
90829.8
42136.9
998810.8
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1061705015020010134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.80.0
42.142.1
Auto11.5
Teleop23.9
End4.4
red by 29.1
9988
#26
10.80.9
11.011.9
Auto5.1
Teleop4.4
End1.3
Second
111
#24
29.70.0
31.031.0
Auto10.9
Teleop18.3
End0.6
red by 19.9
9082
#16
9.80.5
9.29.7
Auto1.7
Teleop6.5
End1.6
Third
13.30.0
12.312.4
Auto7.8
Teleop4.4
End1.1
red by 6.4
4213
#18
6.90.5
6.16.6
Auto5.7
Teleop0.9
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
83%Melody oddsEarned6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsEarned6%Ensemble oddsMissed