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Red72
35969.0
42136.9
170641.0
Blue39
409616.4
99985.6
93020.0
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6741020801001201407239

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.00.3
41.541.8
Auto12.0
Teleop25.2
End3.8
red by 20.9
930
#22
20.00.1
19.018.9
Auto7.6
Teleop11.5
End1.0
Second
3596
#20
9.00.3
8.79.0
Auto6.6
Teleop1.8
End0.7
blue by 7.3
4096
#17
16.40.1
16.116.0
Auto8.7
Teleop6.2
End1.6
Third
4213
#18
6.90.3
6.66.9
Auto5.7
Teleop0.9
End0.4
red by 1.3
9998
#28
5.60.2
5.85.6
Auto3.2
Teleop1.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsEarned10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed