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Red42
999113.4
270415.0
442313.2
Blue33
99996.4
20409.0
11129.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions405301001502002503003504004233

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.00.0
16.015.9
Auto5.0
Teleop8.1
End1.9
blue by 14.7
111
#24
29.70.9
31.030.1
Auto10.9
Teleop18.3
End0.6
Second
9991
#13
13.40.1
11.511.4
Auto3.9
Teleop7.9
End1.6
red by 4.4
2040
#25
9.00.9
9.99.0
Auto5.5
Teleop2.1
End1.4
Third
4423
#34
13.20.1
13.313.2
Auto4.6
Teleop7.5
End1.1
red by 6.7
9999
#21
6.41.6
6.14.6
Auto2.0
Teleop3.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed45%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed